At the beginning of the campaign Rand Paul was the highest polling Republican candidate among Democrats and independents. He is still high on the independents list, and the independent vote will be a huge factor this year. Unfortunately his lack of charisma and the fact that the media has chosen to ignore him both on the campaign trail and in the debates has hurt his message. Were his message to get out as well as Trump's and Carson's, I believe that he would be the Republican's best shot at a win come November. In fact, his shot at a November win is probably much higher were he to be the nominee than his chance of actually becoming the nominee. Quite frankly, I don't see a Republican who could beat Biden right now, and only Carson and Fiorina seem to have a shot at Hillary. But remember, it is still a year away and things change. The "outsiders" tend to fade drastically as the actual election approaches.J-man date=1444707592 said:RP was on my short list but I just can't get excited over a candidate who, in reality, doesn't have a chance to win in the General Election. I agree with him on many issues but it doesn't matter if he can't win.
The date he signed the voter registration in Florida identifying as a Republican was October last year. This last paragraph from the "news" story, proves it is an attempted hatchet job:cptlo306 date=1444741404 said:Another hit piece on Carson.
Records show Ben Carson became Republican less than one year ago
This actually makes me like him more.
Carson has been a guest many times on Fox expressing his deep conservative beliefs. Pierson is also assuming Carson agreed with every position of the Independence Party of Florida.“Six months prior to Dr. Carson’s announcement, his platform was void of top Republican primary issues including life, the second amendment, and God. It did, however, include sustainable development, social justice, and a 25% tax on all sporting events,” Pierson says, referring to the Independence Party of Florida.
Like his dad, he is quirky and has an annoying voice and demeanor. I suppose those things shouldn't matter, but they do.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1444704913 said:lotstodo date=1444687014 said:Rand Paul has been quite specific on what he would cut and is the only candidate with a consistent record of fiscal responsibility. But your point is well taken. Neither party has been willing to do anything but kick the can down the road.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1444512821 said:I'm a fan of actual evidence, and Lotstodo brought actual evidence to the table. But, it is worth noting that even if you take the Social Security shenanigans off the table, under the Clinton administration, the federal deficit came within $18 billion of being eliminated. (deficit, not debt) Whether even this tiny victory would have happened without the Republican congress is open to question, but history does not bear out that Republicans are better at fiscal management.
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/41880?index=10871
Nevertheless, my main point stands: Republicans don't have a good record on fiscal restraint. Bush and Reagan couldn't manage it even with Republican control of the Senate (in Reagan's case), and Republican control of both houses (in Bush's case).
I actually assumed this happened because of the wars Bush was fighting. According to the US Department of the Treasury, though they were a big part of it, they were not the biggest part of it. This 2011 chart also includes the beginnings of the Obama Administration. (As a parenthetical, it also shows that CBO projections aren't that great.)
It is now 2015. Here is a simplified but telling article that compares recent presidents. Every one of them grew the debt. It also points out that, as GuardDad said, Clinton benefitted from a booming economy. But it also tells me that I shouldn't associate either party with fiscal restraint.
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/rick-newman/2013/02/20/why-a-bill-clinton-style-budget-miracle-wont-happen-again
I'm not going to take a candidate seriously who says they will reduce the debt or the federal deficit until they put all the sacred cows on the table with specifics: military spending, Social Security, and raising taxes. It's fun talking about cutting spending or sacrifices in general, but people don't like it when politicians get specific.
I agree. Of the Republicans, Rand Paul is the one I trust the most on fiscal matters. Sadly, his views are not popular among Republicans. I'm curious how he would have done without Trump entering the race.
Guard Dad date=1445005172 said:Like his dad, he is quirky and has an annoying voice and demeanor. I suppose those things shouldn't matter, but they do.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1444704913 said:lotstodo date=1444687014 said:Rand Paul has been quite specific on what he would cut and is the only candidate with a consistent record of fiscal responsibility. But your point is well taken. Neither party has been willing to do anything but kick the can down the road.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1444512821 said:I'm a fan of actual evidence, and Lotstodo brought actual evidence to the table. But, it is worth noting that even if you take the Social Security shenanigans off the table, under the Clinton administration, the federal deficit came within $18 billion of being eliminated. (deficit, not debt) Whether even this tiny victory would have happened without the Republican congress is open to question, but history does not bear out that Republicans are better at fiscal management.
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/41880?index=10871
Nevertheless, my main point stands: Republicans don't have a good record on fiscal restraint. Bush and Reagan couldn't manage it even with Republican control of the Senate (in Reagan's case), and Republican control of both houses (in Bush's case).
I actually assumed this happened because of the wars Bush was fighting. According to the US Department of the Treasury, though they were a big part of it, they were not the biggest part of it. This 2011 chart also includes the beginnings of the Obama Administration. (As a parenthetical, it also shows that CBO projections aren't that great.)
It is now 2015. Here is a simplified but telling article that compares recent presidents. Every one of them grew the debt. It also points out that, as GuardDad said, Clinton benefitted from a booming economy. But it also tells me that I shouldn't associate either party with fiscal restraint.
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/rick-newman/2013/02/20/why-a-bill-clinton-style-budget-miracle-wont-happen-again
I'm not going to take a candidate seriously who says they will reduce the debt or the federal deficit until they put all the sacred cows on the table with specifics: military spending, Social Security, and raising taxes. It's fun talking about cutting spending or sacrifices in general, but people don't like it when politicians get specific.
I agree. Of the Republicans, Rand Paul is the one I trust the most on fiscal matters. Sadly, his views are not popular among Republicans. I'm curious how he would have done without Trump entering the race.
J-man date=1446778939 said:It's ok for a President to have personal opinions too, they're still Americans. I'm sure each candidate (from every party) and even past Presidents have or have had some doozy personal beliefs, we just may not be privy to them.
cptlo306 date=1446781168 said:I"m more concerned with what a candidate will do with taxes, the economy, terrorism, govt spending, etc. than I am about what he/she thinks about pyramids.
You are generalizing. He stated his belief about pyramids. That doesn't mean "that evidence is not important to him". I trust Carson more than any of the democrats running and will vote for him if he is the republican nominee. I couldn't care less about his thoughts on pyramids.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446782208 said:cptlo306 date=1446781168 said:I"m more concerned with what a candidate will do with taxes, the economy, terrorism, govt spending, etc. than I am about what he/she thinks about pyramids.
Since he has clearly shown that evidence is not important to him, aren't you curious about how many of these things he will do are based on evidence and how many are due to his wacky beliefs?
Boss 302 date=1444433422 said:It was a Republican majority Congress that forced the balanced budget.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1444432796 said:I don't much care if a politician (of any party) is good at shutting down members of the media. Obama has done it, and I still don't like him. Bernie Sanders has been doing it and, though I have a soft spot for him, that doesn't make me want to vote for him.
I care about the policies they plan to implement and their general worldview.
Meanwhile, I was a little concerned in this clip that Ben Carson did not seem to know the difference between the debt ceiling and a balanced budget. What really got me was that the reporter tried several times to get Carson to correct his error and he didn't.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/ben-carson-debt-ceiling
By the way: the last Republican to have a balanced budget was Dwight Eisenhower. The last President to pull it off was Bill Clinton. That does not mean Democrats are better at balancing the budget, but it does mean that the Republican label doesn't mean anything about balancing the budget.
cptlo306 date=1446782514 said:You are generalizing. He stated his belief about pyramids. That doesn't mean "that evidence is not important to him". I trust Carson more than any of the democrats running and will vote for him if he is the republican nominee. I couldn't care less about his thoughts on pyramids.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446782208 said:cptlo306 date=1446781168 said:I"m more concerned with what a candidate will do with taxes, the economy, terrorism, govt spending, etc. than I am about what he/she thinks about pyramids.
Since he has clearly shown that evidence is not important to him, aren't you curious about how many of these things he will do are based on evidence and how many are due to his wacky beliefs?
Not sure...that's up to you to figure out. What you call "wacky superstitions" is part of his religious beliefs.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446784334 said:cptlo306 date=1446782514 said:You are generalizing. He stated his belief about pyramids. That doesn't mean "that evidence is not important to him". I trust Carson more than any of the democrats running and will vote for him if he is the republican nominee. I couldn't care less about his thoughts on pyramids.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446782208 said:cptlo306 date=1446781168 said:I"m more concerned with what a candidate will do with taxes, the economy, terrorism, govt spending, etc. than I am about what he/she thinks about pyramids.
Since he has clearly shown that evidence is not important to him, aren't you curious about how many of these things he will do are based on evidence and how many are due to his wacky beliefs?
How do I determine when he is making decisions based on his wacky superstitions and when he is making decisions based on clear evidence?
cptlo306 date=1446784996 said:Not sure...that's up to you to figure out. What you call "wacky superstitions" is part of his religious beliefs.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446784334 said:cptlo306 date=1446782514 said:You are generalizing. He stated his belief about pyramids. That doesn't mean "that evidence is not important to him". I trust Carson more than any of the democrats running and will vote for him if he is the republican nominee. I couldn't care less about his thoughts on pyramids.Waski_the_Squirrel date=1446782208 said:cptlo306 date=1446781168 said:I"m more concerned with what a candidate will do with taxes, the economy, terrorism, govt spending, etc. than I am about what he/she thinks about pyramids.
Since he has clearly shown that evidence is not important to him, aren't you curious about how many of these things he will do are based on evidence and how many are due to his wacky beliefs?
How do I determine when he is making decisions based on his wacky superstitions and when he is making decisions based on clear evidence?
J-man date=1446785331 said:Just as any past President he would likely rely on input from his closest advisers of whom I have no doubt would be a much more reliable group of people than the ones our current decision maker relies upon.