MudFlap
Pursuit Driver
... only a little ?
Interesting polls
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Trump pulls away from Biden in one-time swing state: poll
Trump pulls away from Biden in one-time swing state: poll
Former President Donald Trump holds an 18-point lead over President Biden in Iowa, according to a new poll in a one-time crucial general election battleground state that Barack Obama won twice
www.foxnews.com
YouGov Poll: 53% of Hispanics Say Deport Illegals
CNN Data Analyst Can't Believe Latest Trump-Biden Poll Numbers: 'I'm, Like, Speechless'
CNN Data Analyst Can't Believe Latest Trump-Biden Poll Numbers: 'I'm, Like, Speechless'
Enten could barely contain his astonishment over polling data that showed young, black Americans abandoning Biden "in droves."
www.westernjournal.com
The changing black support remains to be seen, but how wonderful that would be!
Newt Gingrich says 'breathtaking' new polling could signal Trump is headed for 'blowout' victory
Newt Gingrich says 'breathtaking' new polling could signal Trump is headed for 'blowout' victory
Newt Gingrich explained why he believes the momentum for November is swinging in Trump's favor as Biden continues to flounder with Black Democrats, a key voting bloc for the Democrats.
www.foxnews.com
Newt Gingrich says 'breathtaking' new polling could signal Trump is headed for 'blowout' victory
Newt Gingrich explained why he believes the momentum for November is swinging in Trump's favor as Biden continues to flounder with Black Democrats, a key voting bloc for the Democrats.
www.foxnews.com
The Sound Guy
Pursuit Driver
I won't believe it's Biden until after the convention.
And even then, if he "dies of natural causes", they will just slip someone else in there.
And even then, if he "dies of natural causes", they will just slip someone else in there.
It won’t be that easy, I’m not falling for it.The changing black support remains to be seen, but how wonderful that would be!
Newt Gingrich says 'breathtaking' new polling could signal Trump is headed for 'blowout' victory
Newt Gingrich says 'breathtaking' new polling could signal Trump is headed for 'blowout' victory
Newt Gingrich explained why he believes the momentum for November is swinging in Trump's favor as Biden continues to flounder with Black Democrats, a key voting bloc for the Democrats.
Boss 302
Pursuit Driver
Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May
President Biden is the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against former President Trump for the first time since October, as positive views of the economy inch up.
www.foxnews.com
MudFlap
Pursuit Driver
I don't understand how any sane (or even unsane ) person could vote for Taliban Joe.Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May
President Biden is the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against former President Trump for the first time since October, as positive views of the economy inch up.
You know, the whole 'enemies foreign & domestic' thing.
There are a couple of polls showing Biden in the lead now in a 5-way race, but most still have Trump ahead. These polls sowing Biden "surging" have typically been outliers, likely so the media will have something sensational to report, and those polls have been flipping back after a couple of weeks. And, most of them have been conducted by the media themselves or colleges, not professional polling agencies. So I wouldn't put much stock in any single poll. This is why I usually post poll averages.
Just remember...Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary by 2.1%, yet still won in the electoral college. The numbers there still show Trump winning easily. He is still leading in every single battleground state, and is very close to flipping two "blue" states.
Beyond that...there are several dynamics that are hard to predict. Just how much has Trump actually gained among blacks and Hispanics? Some of the polls show significant gains, but it's hard to gauge. I've read that it's harder to get accurate polling from minorities.
Then there's the question of turnout. There's good indication that some of Biden's voters won't go to the polls because they aren't happy with him. But will the same happen to Trump because of the conviction? No one really knows about either of these.
Will mail-in voting be abused again? I wish I was more confident that it's been fixed, but I'm not.
And, of course, the question of whether or not they will replace Biden. I'm still leaning that they won't, but it could happen. Gonna be seriously interesting if they do, though.
Just remember...Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary by 2.1%, yet still won in the electoral college. The numbers there still show Trump winning easily. He is still leading in every single battleground state, and is very close to flipping two "blue" states.
Beyond that...there are several dynamics that are hard to predict. Just how much has Trump actually gained among blacks and Hispanics? Some of the polls show significant gains, but it's hard to gauge. I've read that it's harder to get accurate polling from minorities.
Then there's the question of turnout. There's good indication that some of Biden's voters won't go to the polls because they aren't happy with him. But will the same happen to Trump because of the conviction? No one really knows about either of these.
Will mail-in voting be abused again? I wish I was more confident that it's been fixed, but I'm not.
And, of course, the question of whether or not they will replace Biden. I'm still leaning that they won't, but it could happen. Gonna be seriously interesting if they do, though.
Democratic strategist sounds warning for Biden after poll shows single-digit lead over Trump in New York
A new Siena College poll that shows President Biden with an eight percentage point lead over former President Trump should set off alarm bells for Democrats, a veteran strategist warns.
www.foxnews.com
Some weird stuff going on with the polls. While there are a couple of polls showing Biden has retaken the lead in the popular vote, other polls show Trump with an even greater lead. Note the Rasmussan poll, which is typically one of the more respected.
Why the difference between the polls all of a sudden? That's a good question. I'll just state that the two showing Biden back in the lead were done my media outlets, you can draw your own conclusions.
www.realclearpolling.com
Why the difference between the polls all of a sudden? That's a good question. I'll just state that the two showing Biden back in the lead were done my media outlets, you can draw your own conclusions.
2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein Polls | RealClearPolling
Explore poll data on the 2024 General Election with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.
Latest battleground state polls. Trump actually up a tic.
Two states are too close for comfort, but Trump would still pass 270 without them.
www.realclearpolling.com
Two states are too close for comfort, but Trump would still pass 270 without them.
Top Battlegrounds – RCP Average
Latest polls show Minnesota leaning Trump. An uphill battle, I suspect, but it would be a flip if it does go Trump.
Virginia is a dead heat, which would be another major flip if Trump was to win. In he poll linked below; even though the two men are tied, Trump would seem to have the advantage in favorability and confidence numbers. If Trump was to pick Youngkin as his VP, that might flip the state.
Virginia is a dead heat, which would be another major flip if Trump was to win. In he poll linked below; even though the two men are tied, Trump would seem to have the advantage in favorability and confidence numbers. If Trump was to pick Youngkin as his VP, that might flip the state.
Virginia 2024 election poll tracker
Stay updated on Virginia's 2024 election polls with The Hill and Decision Desk HQ's comprehensive poll tracker, including the latest approval ratings and popularity of candidates.
elections2024.thehill.com
Some interesting data further down in the article
Dick Morris to Newsmax: Poll Shows Voters Have Decided on Trump
Polling guru Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 66% chance of winning presidential election
Polling guru Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 66% chance of winning presidential election
Polling and data expert Nate Silver revealed the results of his first election forecasts on Wednesday, which showed former President Trump was favored to win.
www.foxnews.com
New polls out. Those outliers showing Biden "surging" are falling down the page.
Trump vs Biden https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
5-way poll https://www.realclearpolling.com/po...24/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-stein
No toss-up map stays the same, which I expected https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
Little change in battleground states, Trump still leading in all https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
Minnesota is still one to watch. One polls shows a tie, the other Trump leading by one point. Could go either way, but refreshing to see since the state hasn't went for a Republican since 1972.
Trump leading in Virginia by 0.2 point, a statistical tie. This one will also be fun to watch.
Trump vs Biden https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
5-way poll https://www.realclearpolling.com/po...24/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-stein
No toss-up map stays the same, which I expected https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
Little change in battleground states, Trump still leading in all https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
Minnesota is still one to watch. One polls shows a tie, the other Trump leading by one point. Could go either way, but refreshing to see since the state hasn't went for a Republican since 1972.
Trump leading in Virginia by 0.2 point, a statistical tie. This one will also be fun to watch.
None of the polls matter, this is what really matters:
The roughly 7.4 million foreign nationals who are eligible for naturalization in the U.S. could help swing the election in five battleground states, The Hill reportedThursday.
Citing a report from the American Immigration Council, The Hill reported that the foreigners eligible for naturalization outnumber the 2020 margin of victory most acutely in Georgia and Arizona.
In Arizona, 164,000 people are eligible to apply for citizenship and the 2020 vote difference there was 10,457 in President Joe Biden's favor. Biden's margin of victory in Georgia was roughly 11,700 votes in 2020, and there are more than 153,000 people eligible for naturalization in the Peach State, according to The Hill.
Report: 7.4M Eligible Foreigners Could Swing Election
The roughly 7.4 million foreign nationals who are eligible for naturalization in the U.S. could help swing the election in five battleground states, The Hill reportedThursday.
Citing a report from the American Immigration Council, The Hill reported that the foreigners eligible for naturalization outnumber the 2020 margin of victory most acutely in Georgia and Arizona.
In Arizona, 164,000 people are eligible to apply for citizenship and the 2020 vote difference there was 10,457 in President Joe Biden's favor. Biden's margin of victory in Georgia was roughly 11,700 votes in 2020, and there are more than 153,000 people eligible for naturalization in the Peach State, according to The Hill.
Not many new polls out yet, but the betting odds have swung considerably. Trump hasn't come up that much, but Biden has dropped a lot.