It\'s all over, Newt

The odds are more against him now. If he can keep making it close in each primary, he could possibly sway some delegates at the convention; most likely not enough to get the nomination, but enough to affect the platform to a more conservative one.
 
He is helping Romney by staying in. It is my belief that Romney will have the 1144 delegates to win the nomination when all of the smoke clears.
 
newsjunky said:
Madea said:
I am so disappointed in Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi.
Newt had his best shot there.

I know. I'm just really amazed that folks are really picking up on what Santorum is putting out there. I've seen nothing but social issues from him. Nothing substantial, and nothing that truly matters in the here and now. JMHO
 
Romney is travelling the South making himself look like a total buffoon. I may be Southern, and you may think I'm stupid, but there are some things I pick up on quickly. Just because he has Jeff Foxworthy in tow, he is not endearing himself to real Southerners.

I guessing the "Bible Belt" had a real problem pushing the buttom for Newt. (Note: I'm not making fun of the Bible Belt, I actually like that title. ;) )
 
Madea said:
Romney is travelling the South making himself look like a total buffoon. I may be Southern, and you may think I'm stupid, but there are some things I pick up on quickly. Just because he has Jeff Foxworthy in tow, he is not endearing himself to real Southerners.

I guessing the "Bible Belt" had a real problem pushing the buttom for Newt. (Note: I'm not making fun of the Bible Belt, I actually like that title. ;) )

Yep. People just cannot get past the idea of not voting for a preacher and for someone who can get the job done.

But just watch, the broker convention will bring someone "back" into the race. Someone who hasn't run this election yet, but has a big impact. And could turn the whole convention on it's head!

I have a feeling Newt knows this and is staying in the race so no candidate can lock up the minimum delegates to win it out right.

Don't ya just love politics?
 
Here's why Newt and Romney lost in Tennessee, Alabama, and Mississippi - religion. The south is full of Baptists who believe Mormons aren't Christians and Catholics are going to hell. I've heard it hundreds of times.

I think Winchester has a valid point and I agree with him. Palin has recently opened the door a little to enter the race at the convention. Right now, she's supporting Newt. I think if she sees he can't win it, she'll open that door a lot wider. If Palin did enter and received the nomination, she'd lose big time; mostly because the news media would eat her alive just like they did when she was the VP running mate. It would be ugly.

She's a big advocate for the Tea Party, but her endorsement of Newt hasn't helped him at all with the Tea Party. I don't see the Tea Party having any influence at all with the voters so far in the primaries.

I think what's hurting Newt, especially in the southern states is the Dems don't have many challenged primaries. I think a lot of Dems are voting for Santorum as they see him as the candidate that would be easy to defeat.
 
Winchester said:
We are not even at the half way mark yet. You are starting to sound like the news media.
But look at the states that are left. He should have been able to walk away with the south and he didn't. He's not dropping yet which leads me to think, as some have already mentioned, that he's staying in to play spoiler ... to keep other options open for the party. Not sure he can have enough of an impact on the delegate counts to do that but there has to be some reason that he's still hanging on.
 
Considering that Romney is Mormon, and Newt and Santorum are both Catholic, I think it's less religion and more that they aren't forgiving Newt's past. I don't know what, if any, religious affiliation Paul has.

Newt has stated he is staying in the race to keep the conservative voice there. It does appear to be keeping Romney in line. But that could all be rhetoric. And I don't think the surprise will be Palin.

A (somewhat) local, and well-respected political pundit has stated that NONE of the current four have a chance at beating Obama and that he believes the surprise will be Jeb Bush.
 
I know there are a lot of people that are hoping and praying that he'll be the surprise and the party nominee because it is true that none of the 4 currently in the race really has a good chance of winning in November.
 
The last I read when the question was posed to him, Jeb Bush said he wasn't interested. I seriously doubt another Bush could get elected.
 
Rumor I heard is that Jeb Bush was waiting until 2016 to put some distance between he and George.
 
Foxmeister said:
I think what's hurting Newt, especially in the southern states is the Dems don't have many challenged primaries. I think a lot of Dems are voting for Santorum as they see him as the candidate that would be easy to defeat.

^^^ This.
 
I voted for Paul. He's the best for the job in my opinion. If you notice, he actually has a platform that covers all of our biggest problems and offers solutions. Not everyone will agree with his solutions, but at least he's offering viability rather than pandering. And you might also take note that social issues aren't important to him.
 
honeybunny said:
Foxmeister said:
I think what's hurting Newt, especially in the southern states is the Dems don't have many challenged primaries. I think a lot of Dems are voting for Santorum as they see him as the candidate that would be easy to defeat.

^^^ This.

I could believe that.
 
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