Interesting polls

So much for Republicans winning this AZ senate seat. Hopefully, if Lake loses, this will mean the end of her political career.


FLASHBACK: Arizona Dem Senate candidate called Trump voters 'dumb': 'Worst people in the world'​


 
Trump needs to win big in PA.... and maybe a couple of other states too.

Otherwise, we all know the leftist will cheat to take the election.

Check out the electoral map.... it comes down to PA / NC / MI / WI / AZ & NV
If it's close, it could all come down to PA. That state could decide the entire election.

I'm reading Virginia is very much in play. Harris maybe with a slight lead, but Trump closing the gap and Youngkin has moved the state to the right. And many pollsters have mentioned that Trump has been under-polled the last two elections. If Trump does win Virginia, Wisconsin and Michigan will likely also go to him.

As has been mentioned here a few times, in spite of the polls, Harris is well behind Biden's numbers in most states. This casts some doubt on the accuracy of her national poll numbers.
 
Not a lot changing at RCP. the guy at Rassmussen mentioned this as well. It's almost as if fake polls are being put there to keep the averages where someone wants them.

Having said, Kamala's poll averages has dropped by a couple of tenths, but that's really not significant.

But, they did finally flip the No Toss-Up map back to Trump. Some of the bad polls that had Kamala winning Pennsylvania rotated off, and they now have it for Trump again.

 
Yep. The mix is really interesting this time. Trump appears to be doing very well among minorities, including black. I just saw a New York poll that had Trump getting 40% of the black vote.

This is bad news for the Democrats. If Trump does win and starts to turn this mess around, the Dems will be in serious trouble without their base.
 
Yep. The mix is really interesting this time. Trump appears to be doing very well among minorities, including black. I just saw a New York poll that had Trump getting 40% of the black vote.

This is bad news for the Democrats. If Trump does win and starts to turn this mess around, the Dems will be in serious trouble without their base.

And if comrade Harris wins, the leftists will pack the supreme court, attack the electoral college and gut the constitution.

More than likely, we won't see another GOP president in our lifetime.
 
Harris is down another 2 tenths in the RCP average. Still not very significant, and I suspect some more fake polls will come out to bolster her numbers.
 
RCP is still a mess due to it being flooded with "newcomer" polls. There's a couple of new names in pollsters just this week, which has given Harris her 2/10s back. When you take out these "convenient" polls and go just off the respected ones, Trump is ahead, even in the popular vote.

RCP still has their no toss-up map at Trump winning with 281, though these fake polls could change that again. When you go to the individual state polls, they tell a different story from the national averages. There is some indication the VP debate might have swayed a few people, which is atypical for VP debates. But I think after the Trump/Harris debate being such a cluster, voters might have given the Vance/Walz debate more weight.

If I had to predict the outcome today, I would say Trump wins with just over 300 EVs.
 
This one is mostly about Pennsylvania, which might be the pivotal state in this election. As usual, he breaks down the numbers and analyses them.

 
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