Whether or not it will be this massive, I don't know. But I do think there's something to the article, especially what he says regarding polls.
Polls say Biden has a significant lead, but where is the support? Where are the yard signs? Where are the crowds at his (few) rallies?
There are three factors that make this election hard to predict:
1) As we've already discussed, the "shy" Trump voters who tend to not participate in polls. I honestly think Trump voters are at least a 4% underrepresented in the polls, and I hope it's higher.
2) Actual turnout. Telling a pollster you support Biden is one thing, but how many of them will actually vote? IMO, the advantage here is with Trump; the excitement level just isn't there for Biden. His only real draw is that he's not Trump. As you guys know, wife and I made a road trip to the Tennessee mountains last weekend, and we saw a grand total of one Biden sign. To contrast, they have stores all over up there selling Trump merchandise. Granted, it's Trump country, but still. Georgia is considered to be light red or even purple right now, and I'm just not seeing the Biden signs. Is anyone excited about Biden? I think the Libertarians will do pretty well this time, just because they aren't Trump or Biden. Of course, that's another story for another thread. Trump voters are driven, Biden voters not so much.
3) Mail in voting. This one scares me, and I honestly don't know what to expect from it, other than a massive, fraudulent mess.
Polls say Biden has a significant lead, but where is the support? Where are the yard signs? Where are the crowds at his (few) rallies?
There are three factors that make this election hard to predict:
1) As we've already discussed, the "shy" Trump voters who tend to not participate in polls. I honestly think Trump voters are at least a 4% underrepresented in the polls, and I hope it's higher.
2) Actual turnout. Telling a pollster you support Biden is one thing, but how many of them will actually vote? IMO, the advantage here is with Trump; the excitement level just isn't there for Biden. His only real draw is that he's not Trump. As you guys know, wife and I made a road trip to the Tennessee mountains last weekend, and we saw a grand total of one Biden sign. To contrast, they have stores all over up there selling Trump merchandise. Granted, it's Trump country, but still. Georgia is considered to be light red or even purple right now, and I'm just not seeing the Biden signs. Is anyone excited about Biden? I think the Libertarians will do pretty well this time, just because they aren't Trump or Biden. Of course, that's another story for another thread. Trump voters are driven, Biden voters not so much.
3) Mail in voting. This one scares me, and I honestly don't know what to expect from it, other than a massive, fraudulent mess.
Jimmy Failla: Trump is on pace to win 2020 election in a 'lawn-slide' -- here's why I say that
The left still hasn’t learned the key lesson from the 2016 election
www.foxnews.com