Jimmy Failla: Trump is on pace to win 2020 election in a 'lawn-slide' -- here's why I say that

Guard Dad

Administrator
Staff member
Whether or not it will be this massive, I don't know. But I do think there's something to the article, especially what he says regarding polls.

Polls say Biden has a significant lead, but where is the support? Where are the yard signs? Where are the crowds at his (few) rallies?

There are three factors that make this election hard to predict:

1) As we've already discussed, the "shy" Trump voters who tend to not participate in polls. I honestly think Trump voters are at least a 4% underrepresented in the polls, and I hope it's higher.

2) Actual turnout. Telling a pollster you support Biden is one thing, but how many of them will actually vote? IMO, the advantage here is with Trump; the excitement level just isn't there for Biden. His only real draw is that he's not Trump. As you guys know, wife and I made a road trip to the Tennessee mountains last weekend, and we saw a grand total of one Biden sign. To contrast, they have stores all over up there selling Trump merchandise. Granted, it's Trump country, but still. Georgia is considered to be light red or even purple right now, and I'm just not seeing the Biden signs. Is anyone excited about Biden? I think the Libertarians will do pretty well this time, just because they aren't Trump or Biden. Of course, that's another story for another thread. Trump voters are driven, Biden voters not so much.

3) Mail in voting. This one scares me, and I honestly don't know what to expect from it, other than a massive, fraudulent mess.

 
There are parts of Georgia where you will see all Biden signs and no trump signs. I saw a bunch in the some of the areas of South Ga where a lot of poor/minorities live.

There support may jump more now that Trump says he doesn't care about them and cancelled the stimulus talks. (no matter WHY he called it off, that is the word that Liberal media will put out. He should know this, but just can't help himself when it comes to shooting holes in his feet)
 
There are parts of Georgia where you will see all Biden signs and no trump signs. I saw a bunch in the some of the areas of South Ga where a lot of poor/minorities live.

There support may jump more now that Trump says he doesn't care about them and cancelled the stimulus talks. (no matter WHY he called it off, that is the word that Liberal media will put out. He should know this, but just can't help himself when it comes to shooting holes in his feet)
I'm glad he stood his ground,,, I don't want one cent of my tax dollars to go to California or Portland, democrats destroyed them and they can fix them,,, and there is a crap load of us that feel the same way. Besides, if things go well and repubs take back the house, Pelosi will be back in the peanut gallery,,, yipppeeeee!!!
 
My map is coming in around 320 for Trump. Very similar to the one above.

Swing states are very key. Looking at the polling there, and adding in 4-5% for "shy" Trump voters; Trump gets most of them.

Fingers crossed
 
My wife and I were in Augusta Friday. I saw a few Trump yard signs there, but none for Biden. Richmond County/Augusta is largely Democrat.

Along the way to and from Augusta, I did see a lot of Trump yard signs, but not one for Biden.
 
Back
Top