AOC warns that Dems may lose to Trump in 2020

It's too early for the polls to mean much. At this point it's just a generic what if, and the media hype is playing way too much into it.

Once the debates start the polls will mean more, and after the nominations they will mean a lot more. But even then, there are things that the polls can't factor in, and turnout is one of them. As it stands right now, I think the Dems will have a turnout problem. They really don't have a candidate that excites the base.
 
Erickson just posted this recently. Its a good read and I think he is spot on.

It is June of 2019. The Democratic nominee right now is unchosen and they all have to fight a very bloody primary, consume financial and other resources, and do it all while Donald Trump’s campaign is working to define them. They have to withstand a good economy and an American propensity to let a President have a second term.

The Democratic nominee, as far as the polling is concerned, is generic Democrat. President Trump has problems beating the generic Democrat conjured up in each person’s head. But he will actually be running against a person who he tries to define.

He has time. There’s no reason to panic. But there’s also no reason to scream that the polls are wrong. They are not. They give us a snapshot of right now and they tell the President and his team what they need to do to beat the Democrats.
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The Resurgent
- Jamie
 
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